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I think every political analyst, professional or amateur, should have the courage to make an election prediction on the last day of each presidential campaign.
In my case, while I know it is impolite to brag, I should first warn you that my general success at electoral prognostication has run as high as 50% — nearly that of a simple coin flip.
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Accordingly, my prediction: (please insert drum-roll right here)
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Obama wins electoral college: 276 to 262.
Obama wins popular vote: 49.8% to 48.2%.
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Tomorrow night you will discover whether I am just a moron without any political wisdom or whether I am actually a moron with a lucky guess.
Let’s wait and see.
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